Tucson Real Estate Absoption Rates June 2008

calendar July 15, 2008

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The overall absorption rate for Tucson in June was 7.88 months

The absorption rates improved for most of the Tucson areas in June. Some of the areas are actually showing a lower than normal inventory. The inventory for June dropped to 8,140 for all of Tucson and two area have just over 5 months of active inventory.

Area

June Listed\

June
Sold
June
AR

May Listed\

May
Sold
May
AR
Sold YTD
N 769 96 8.01 784 92 8.52 492
NE 455 40 11.37 463 50 9.26 242
NW 2131 254 8.38 2172 271 8.01 1404
XNW 133 8 16.62 127 12 10.58 52
C 1001 161 6.21 1023 152 6.73 751
E 422 83 5.08 641 74 8.66 390
S 527 60 8.78 514 60 8.56 334
SE 606 116 5.22 657 115 5.71 523
SW 666 66 10.09 675 57 11.84 385
XSW 309 32 9.65 311 27 11.51 166
XS 542 65 8.33 546 65 8.09 377
W 525 48 9.87 525 42 12.20 272
XW 72 5 14.40 76 6 12.66 33
  8,140 1048 7.88 8,527 1045 8.15  

 

The average sales prices have been coming down each month. At the moment it looks like July will slip a little lower yet. I’m not sure we will see 1000 closed transactions in July. I base this on only 951 pending contracts in June down from 1400 + in May.

Even with gas hovering at $4 a gallon, mortgage crisis continuing to plague the industry and wars and rumors of wars we see the Tucson real estate market progressing into the third quarter of the year. Many of the paper gains of 05 - 07 are now gone, but they were only on paper and will be back again in a couple of years.

As I’ve said before, “This is our Market, it is what it is”. It could be a little better, but it could be a lot worse.

By Dave Smith in Tucson Real Estate Market

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